Election 97

VRML animation
Red mountain

Robert Waller sums up the situation in South East England. VRML by Fin Fahey

VRML South East

Essex, Hampshire and Oxfordshire have been moved out of the vast (electorally) South East region to reduce the size of the VRML file. South East England is dominated by the (mostly) red colossus of the Capital. But Labour doesn't have it all its own way in London. Note the blue incursion to the south-west (including the underpopulated Cities of Westminster and London) and the ring of largely Tory suburbs. Simon Hughes' Lib Dem fief in Bermondsey also stands out.

Elsewhere in the region, blue totally dominates the 1992 results - this region let Labour down badly in 1992. In the northern part of the South East, their failure to gain Slough was a severe disappointment, but it should fall to them this time. This time, with the help of boundary changes, Luton South and Stevenage could easily fall to Labour. A 5 per cent swing to them secures Milton Keynes SW and Bedford and they can at least dream of gaining Watford, Welwyn and Luton North.

South of London, there are many seats that will be Tory until doomsday, but Labour is set fair to take Dover and Crawley. If they secure a good swing, Gravesham and Dartford may also fall to them. The Lib Dems can hope to hold on in Newbury, one of their by-election gains.

London carries slightly less weight in this election - it has lost ten seats due to boundary changes, and most of these changes have worked to the benefit of Labour. In 1992, Labour made good ground in Greater London, gaining ten seats from the Tories and two from the dying SDP. Now they will have to defend two of their gains all over again, Croydon North and Ilford South, as boundary changes have swung these to the Tories. They have excellent hopes of making real gains, however. Hayes and Harlington, Edmonton, Brentford and Isleworth, Mitcham and Morden, and Eltham are high on their target list. The Lib Dems are pretty much squeezed, but have some hope in Twickenham - Richmond is now firmly in the Tory camp.

Labour regional targets
Conservative regional targets
Liberal Democrat regional targets
3D Electoral density